I haven't posted for the past two days, and I know some of my friends need me, but I really don't know what to write. The day before yesterday, the account with a large position shrank by more than a dozen, and it slowly rose back yesterday, a difference of tens of thousands of yuan from a week ago, and the small floating profit and loss actually had no big impact. Friends who are familiar with me also know that I don't feel anything about this kind of ups and downs anymore, and friends who know my position allocation should understand what I'm talking about.

It's not that I'm stable, but I am familiar with my own personality and the nature of the market.

If you really want to talk about your feelings, it is nothing more than the situation of the war and the situation of capital that have disrupted the market, and the market has once again verified that sentence: an analysis is as fierce as a tiger, and the ups and downs all depend on Trump, this golden retriever, how many people's wallets have been harvested ruthlessly!

The war in the Middle East ushered in a dramatic reversal, so that many people burst their positions, the day before the short was laughing, now they may be crying with a single, and the long ones are bursting by a needle, and now they may be annoyed by the K-line that has risen back. As long as the person who has experienced it will understand this pain, but no one can understand you and help you, this market will never believe in tears, people will not teach people, if things teach people, you will know the pain a few more times.

In fact, this kind of phenomenon is not the first time you have seen it, and I have emphasized more than once before that the bulltail has skyrocketed and plummeted, and the current market is basically dominated by contract players. Don't be too superstitious about people who can eat big meat at both ends this time, I clearly know that the pride of these days will not reach 20% in this market, and I also have a few of that kind of contract big coffee teacher group, I can see those wealth passwords and records, the change in the market is fleeting, if you review it according to the timeliness and timeliness, most of them are just small warehouse receipts at both ends.

When the day before yesterday fell sharply, some people began to advocate that there would be a third world war, coupled with the rendering of various media, how much did a large short-selling institution earn, BTC would see a range of 7w to 8w, and the copycat would be cut in half at least. After hearing these news, most people directly lost confidence in the follow-up market, shouting that they were going to plummet, and a considerable part of the spot in their hands was also cut, and some friends, the ghost made a short order. But in the early hours of this morning, things ushered in a reversal of the "comprehensive ceasefire", and a fake breaking price returned to its original position, but many people's accounts in the group were vigorously liquidated and became the buyers of this war. I can clearly see that after seven or eight years of mixing in the currency circle, who doesn't have more than a dozen or twenty such so-called exchange groups with orders?

Now most of the group is silent, and when the market is bad, they don't even bother to send hair, and the only thing that can resonate may be the spit solitaire, as long as one person writes: Fuck the dog village, I'm losing money! Later, more than a dozen people copied and pasted, and some of them were directly cleared by the administrator. In addition to mourning their lost principal in this way, can the poor leeks knock out the group leader? Who will pity you? Maybe they're counting the money. This is indeed a tragic but true story, and these stories play out all the time in our market, before and will be.

As mentioned in the previous dynamics, the impact of war news is only temporary, and if you care too much, you will be emptied of your wallet by these politicians over and over again. Many friends say that this round is difficult, and I admit this, but if you ask the old leeks who have experienced more than two rounds of bulls and bears, is it not difficult to have a bull market in the past? The news on the policy side is hot and cold, the K-line of the skyrocketing and plummeting always exists, and the manipulation of the extreme market often occurs, and the daily line of the big yang K or the big yin K that you see in the review, how much is buried staring at the 1-minute line, 5-minute line, and 15-minute line players' wealth and blood and tears? A bull market is more likely to lose money than a bear market, and you will never understand what you have not experienced, but if you experience it once, the price is enough to make you remember it. I'm still going to tell you the truth, at least more than half of the players will fall before the last madness of the bull market.

Being able to see the past is an instinct that everyone has. Being able to see the future is a test of ability. These abilities are not very difficult, first of all, whether you can correctly recognize the value of the currency you hold has largely determined your outcome and mentality. Holding BTC and holding copycats as the main position, the mentality is definitely different. Holding ETH and holding Mana as the main position also have different mentalities. Holding Ada and Wemix as the main positions, the mentality is even different. Most of your emotional instability comes from this, don't complain about the market first, you first ask yourself why you chose this way before, it's not that there is no opportunity for you to adjust, but many times you can't accept the reality, it's the psychology of aversion to loss.

The second is to have the basic independent market interpretation ability, many friends only care about when the price will rise, in fact, we should pay more attention to what problem this currency solves? What is the value? You can probably identify when the price is discounted and when it is inflated. Even if you didn't understand it before, and you are now trapped, or even held on for a few years, you have to figure out as soon as possible whether the price you bought is undervalued or overvalued?

If you have an answer to this cognitive latitude, you feel that the current currency is undervalued, hold it patiently, don't worry about whether it will rise or fall today, and if it is overvalued, give up decisively, and find those currencies with relatively high-quality fundamentals and discounted prices.

Personally, I think that maybe this way to describe and sort out, can be relatively clear to answer the dynamics of a friend's message about mana's inquiry. If you have learned about Mana's past and present life through a variety of channels ((weibo, youtube, weixin, webpages, etc.), then the most direct question is to ask yourself, if the current price rises by 5 times, does it make sense to you, and can you return to the cost? Is it meeting your profit goals? As for whether it is difficult to achieve 5 times, I believe you have experienced it for so long, and according to the current situation, there will be an answer in your heart. If you don't think it makes much sense to go up 5 times, then maybe the current Pepe and Doge will be more suitable for you.........

The third is self-emotion, which is the biggest demon of ordinary traders. After experiencing the psychological state of the roller coaster market, I believe there is no need for me to describe it here, the more afraid of something, the more something will appear. But if I tell you at this moment that I opened a long order by myself and was also exploded, and immediately opened a short order after the explosion, and now it is about to explode, will you be happy? Or if I also deliberately tell you at this moment that I have bought all the ETH of the small position pending orders of 2250 and 2200 at the time of this big fall, Ada with pending orders of 0.55, 0.52, 0.5 and 0.48 has bought half, and ondo with pending orders of 0.75, 0.70 and 0.65 has bought two-thirds, will you feel lost because of this? Because these price positions are all replied to by Yoshikawa in the comment area!

If you really feel comforted or saddened by this, then you might as well leave the market early...... It's not really the place for you.

The process of trading is grinding, especially for long-term holdings, but I think it is also rewarding. Every fluctuation of the market is to give me the opportunity to test myself, test my emotions, test my decision-making, and test my ability to resist risks.

The reason why I don't want to write too much about public dynamic discussion of the market is that I don't want to affect my mentality too much, and sometimes it's very tiring to take care of emotional giant babies. As a realistic dynamic creator and recorder, I don't care too much about whether our dynamic friends subscribe or not, 0.8 GT is just a small threshold, no matter how the GT price changes, it will be the same before, and it will be basically the same in the future. If you find it useful, you can come in and have a look. In the future, there should be a small threshold for starting a live broadcast, and I hope to slowly gather some friends at higher latitudes to communicate, so that I can continue to make progress and improve, and have the motivation to continue to write.

In fact, every dynamic message and question, I will basically reply to the words I see, but there are very few really effective and polite exchanges, and many times I reply seriously, and I don't get any response, and I feel a little lost. So after starting the weekly live broadcast in the future, I will apply for a communication group, so that the communication may be much better. Communicating at the same frequency is actually more important to me, as the old saying goes, it is better to cross others than to cross yourself, and I have no intention of becoming a god in your heart, I am just a very ordinary old leek. I've been reading books in the last two days, and I got two magazines in some ways, to tell the truth, after reading it, I did open my horizons and ideas, and the web3 industry has to be engaged, and there are really not only those colorful ups and downs, but also a lot of opportunities to make money, if there is a chance, I also want to send some books to everyone.

Well, it's almost time to scribble, for the current market, don't be easily washed off by shocks, trend traders earn big cycles, and the noise in the market will always exist, but the trend will not lie. As long as you have no problem with your chips, hold on to your chips, and are not disturbed by short-term fluctuations, the market has reached June, and it should not take long to see the light.

Learn from Lei Jun's words, always believe that good things are about to happen, this is not the spirit of Ah Q, it is a rational judgment to understand the market trend and combine your own positions. When I was writing this article, I suddenly noticed a very special news, about the dovish speech of the Fed's second leader, you said that the current script change is so magical, will it really announce a surprise interest rate cut in July?

Finally, end this belated little essay with a sentence on the quotations of the ancient currency circle, for every ordinary player in the currency circle, the biggest risk in the bull market is to get off early, this sentence applies to me, and I hope you will gain ☕something #加密市场反弹# #比特币储备法案#