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Tonight, investors in the Crypto Assets market are closely following the upcoming PCE inflation data. The market generally expects the PCE to rise to 2.3%, while the core PCE may reach 2.8%. If these numbers come true, they could put certain pressure on the market.
However, it is worth noting that it will only be considered true bearish news when the actual data exceeds these expected values. Conversely, if the data falls below expectations, it may be interpreted as a bullish signal.
Interestingly, although tariffs typically push up inflation, recent CPI and PCE data have often come in below expectations. This phenomenon has sparked some discussions about the reliability of the data. There have even been senior officials who have publicly questioned the accuracy of government data, which undoubtedly adds more uncertainty to the market.
Considering these factors, the data may meet or fall below expectations. The real variable may come from the impending expiration of the tariff deferral policy. After July 8th, the new tariff policy will be implemented, which may impact the US stock market and subsequently affect the Crypto Assets market.
Investors should remain vigilant and closely follow the market reactions after the data is released. At the same time, attention should also be paid to changes in geopolitical situations, such as the tensions between Israel and Iran, as these factors may impact the global financial markets.
In this period full of uncertainty, rational analysis and prudent decision-making are particularly important. Let us wait and see how the market will interpret this important economic data.