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The crypto world has crashed again! 📉 The group is filled with wails, some are cutting losses while others are buying the dip. Is this a pitfall or an opportunity? Today, I'm going to share my heartfelt thoughts with you.
Let me break a rumor first: a big dump is not necessarily a "wolf is coming", but most likely leverage is "committing suicide"!
Do you think a 5% fall means the market is panicking? In fact, a bunch of people added 10x leverage, and a 5% drop directly triggered liquidations, causing the system to automatically dump, leading to a chain reaction of falls of 10%, 15%... It's like a domino effect; those falling first are all those who borrowed money to gamble, which has nothing to do with the project itself.
Go take a look at CoinGlass. When the liquidation volume is off the charts, it basically means a short-term emotional kill. Don't be afraid, this kind of fall comes quickly and goes quickly, a V-shaped rebound is a common occurrence.
But! If the stock market also kneels when it falls, then we must be vigilant - this may be the macro dad making moves.
The Fed is hawkish, geopolitical issues are stirring, and global liquidity is tightening... these are the real big BOSS. At the beginning of last year, the optimistic news about Bitcoin ETFs was everywhere, but due to macroeconomic tightening, it just couldn't rise. In such times, don't buy the dip, save your bullets, and wait for the wind to come.
The core of judging opportunities: see whether "the bad news is temporary or a trap for investors"
- Is the project side unlocking tokens? Don't worry, it fell early. If it were really a big dump, the price would have already knelt in advance. On the day of the unlock, there might actually be someone to buy.
- Did the NFT founder change? A small storm, it might be that the new team is even stronger, which could be an opportunity.
- But if the team runs away, the funding chain breaks, and the compliance channels are blocked (like when American banks closed crypto channels before), then don't touch it; even the gods can't save it.
Here's a silly suggestion for you: during a big dump, look at the K-line less and check the "fundamentals" more.
Open the project's official website. Is the team still issuing weekly reports? Is the community active? Has the number of users dropped?
As long as these three are still around, no matter how much it falls, it’s just volatility. Just like last year when LUNA crashed, it was truly dead because the algorithm mechanism itself was a scam; but when ETH fell by 40%, the developers were still writing code, and DeFi was still running, that was a money-making opportunity.
To be honest in the end:
Don't cut loss just because of a fall, and don't go all in just because of a fall.
The bloodbath of leveraged liquidation is over, the panic selling is done, what remains is the real market. Treat the big dump as an exam, understanding "who is swimming naked" is 100 times more useful than blind operations.
For those who currently hold positions, ask yourself: Is this project really done for?
If you don't have a position, don't rush in. First, note down the reasons for this fall—next time it drops again, you'll know whether to buy the dip or run.
#BTC # ETH