#比特币市场分析# Seeing analysts predict that Bitcoin might rise to $130,000 by the end of the year, I can't help but remember my own experience of being misled by such optimistic predictions. Although the Coinbase premium indeed shows a rebound in demand, these predictions often overlook the complexity of the market. The Fed's policies are indeed important, but relying too heavily on a single factor for predictions is dangerous. I advise everyone to stay vigilant and not be blinded by these seemingly wonderful predictions. Remember, the market is always full of uncertainties, and maintaining rationality and risk awareness is the way to survive in the long term. Instead of chasing elusive highs, it is better to focus on proper risk management, which is the true "value investing."