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#TopContentChallenge# Notcoin in Bearish Control — Not Yet in Freefall, According to Two Metrics.
Notcoin's price has corrected almost 14% in the past week and 28% in the past three months. It hasn't joined the broader market rally, and its price action is currently only 19.4% above its all-time low.
Heavy selling at these levels isn't typically a bullish signal, but a closer look reveals two metrics that could influence the outcome if they favor Notcoin.
Cryptocurrency Exchange Inflows Indicate Panic Selling Despite Whale Buying
Cryptocurrency exchange inflows have increased by 6.5% over the past seven days, bringing total exchange balances to 30.39 billion NOT. This is a clear sign of selling pressure from retail investors, especially as Notcoin's price remains near its all-time low.
Interestingly, the top 100 addresses were net buyers during this period. If these large holders continue to accumulate and inflows slow and eventually turn to outflows, market sentiment could begin to shift.
For now, however, selling pressure at lower levels remains the dominant force, leaving bulls on the defensive. On the daily timeframe, bearish pressure is also increasing, suggesting that sellers are still driving the momentum.
The Bull-Bear Strength Indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure buying and selling pressure in the market.
Notecoin's technical structure is a major red flag. On the 4-hour chart, multiple death crosses have formed in recent sessions, each signaling sharp price declines. The next one is approaching—the 100-period EMA, or Exponential Moving Average (light blue line), is approaching a cross below the 200-period EMA (dark blue line).
If this crossover is confirmed and stock market inflows remain high, it could accelerate the path to retesting the $0.0018 level or setting a new all-time low. This chart structure reflects the same downward momentum seen before previous declines, reinforcing short-term risk.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) tracks price trends but gives more weight to recent data. A crossover occurs when a shorter-term EMA crosses a longer-term EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal.
The Only Remaining Bullish Divergence on the Notcoin Price Chart
The only constructive signal on the chart comes from the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator. The price made a lower low between August 5th and August 14th, while the CMF made a higher low—an early sign that selling pressure may be abating.
However, the CMF remains in negative territory, meaning the market is still under net selling pressure. For this divergence to be significant, the CMF must break above zero, be supported by a significant increase in holdings by the top 100 addresses, and a return to net exchange outflows.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure using price and volume. A CMF reading above zero indicates buying pressure, while a reading below zero indicates selling pressure.
If this alignment is achieved, a rally towards the $0.0019–$0.0020 levels is possible. However, until then, a drop below $0.0018 is more likely, and the risk of a new all-time low remains. If this occurs, the Notcoin price could retest the all-time low of $0.0016 or fall further.